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Three U.S .tech stocks to watch – The Globe and Mail

Three U.S .tech stocks to watch – The Globe and Mail

Six months ago TheStreet busted out its top tech stocks for 2010. Here’s our mid-term report for three of them.

Internet behemoth Amazon AMZN-Q made our list of the year’s top tech stocks after leaving rivals like eBay trailing in its wake. after successfully navigating the recession, Amazon was seen as one of the few large-cap tech companies capable of major growth.

Investors, however, have been less than impressed with Amazon so far this year, although the market’s expectations may have been over-inflated.

Even good first-quarter results were not enough to drive the company’s stock upward, although disappointing guidance weighed on Amazon’s shares. overall, Amazon’s share price has dipped 0.98% over the last six months.

There are certainly some big hurdles in Amazon’s path. the strengthening dollar, for example, recently prompted Barclays Capital to trim its Amazon price target and EPS estimates. State taxation of Internet sales, the so-called Amazon Tax,could also prove a headache for online retailers.

Another threat looming on the horizon is Apple’s AAPL-QiPad, touted as a potential Kindle-killer.

Still, there are plenty of positives in the Amazon story. as of last month, the retail giant had reportedly sold 3 million Kindle e-readers, although exact figures have not yet been released. Amazon also clinched a recent deal to sell Kindles at retail giant Target.

The company’s acquisition of popular online shoe seller Zappos.com was also a shrewd move that bodes well for the future, and third-party sellers are expected to drive Amazon’s overseas sales.

Thomas Weisel recently initiated its coverage of Amazon with a Market weight rating and $135 price target. Amazon now holds a significant portion — 12% — of the total U.S. e-commerce market, according to the analyst firm.

Currently trading around $126.49, Amazon’s share dip could still spell longer-term upside for investors.

Described as a “mini-Microsoft” because of its dominant position in the Linux market, Red Hat RHT-N has enjoyed solid, if unspectacular, share gains this year. the company’s stock has risen 9.7 per cent during the last six months and the software maker is still getting plenty of analyst love.

Lazard Capital Markets recently initiated coverage of Red Hat with a buy rating and $35 price target.

“Red Hat is one of the best-positioned companies in mid-cap software,” explained analyst Joel Fishbein, in a note released earlier this month. “In our view, Red Hat’s recurring revenue model, high revenue visibility, and sticky customer base are under-appreciated.”

Red Hat, which competes with Microsoft MSFT-Q, Novell and Oracle, is seen as well-positioned to tap into some of tech’s biggest trends. these include virtualization, cloud computing and growing demand for middleware, a form of software that links different computer programs.

In March, the company posted strong fourth-quarter numbers, although its profit forecast fell short of analysts’ estimates, bringing down Red Hat’s stock.

M&A chatter also continues to swirl around the company, which is currently trading at around $31.90. There has been plenty of speculation about which firms might snap up Red Hat, with IBM and Oracle already touted as potential purchasers.

Lazard’s mr. Fishbein feels that the software maker remains an attractive M&A target, particularly given its share price. “Red Hat’s unique technology and business model position the company as an ideal acquisition candidate at a significant premium to current trading multiple,” he wrote, in his recent note.

VMware VMW-N is certainly living up to our call. Buoyed by international sales and growing license revenue, VMware blew past analysts’ estimates in its recent first quarter and gave strong guidance.

While there have been some fears about the stock’s valuation, VMware shares have risen more than 72% in the last six months. It’s currently trading around $71.72 and has plenty of fans.

“We continue to believe additional upside exists in VMware,” explained Brian Marshall, an analyst at Gleacher & Company, in a recent note. Marshall, who reiterated his VMware buy rating, also raised the company’s price target from $65 to $85, underlining the ongoing strength of virtualization technology.

Virtualization lets users divide physical hardware into multiple virtual chunks and has grown in popularity among users juggling a myriad of operating systems and applications. with companies also struggling with budget pressures, VMware and its rivals such as Microsoft and Citrix are pushing virtualization as a way for firms to reduce the amount of server and storage hardware within their data centers.

Majority-owned by storage giant EMC EMC-N, VMware is also expected to tap the ongoing PC refresh with its desktop virtualization software.

Three U.S .tech stocks to watch – The Globe and Mail

Buying Patterns In Stocks Suggest Rebound Dead Ahead « Great Speculations – Forbes.com

There’s a divergence in the market right now that may bode well for stock investors. UBS, which tracks the movement of funds by its own clients in Europe, says long-only funds–which only make bullish bets on the stock market–are buying stocks at the highest level in nearly a year.  What’s more, hedge funds, which hedge their bullish bets on the stock market with short or bearish positions, are selling at the greatest pace in eighteen months.

It’s the biggest divergence that UBS has seen between its clients’ movement of funds since the Swiss bank started tracking the data in 2006. the reason it puts some store in the data is that it says the last two times long-only buying was at these levels, March 2009 and July 2009, the MSCI Europe index performed very strongly over the next three months.

Of course, remember on both these occasions, stocks were coming off a very depressed base which may explain the subsequent market rallies. (True, says one of the authors of the UBS report, who points out that the market’s levels in early 2009 were “crazy cheap.” still, this author says, when looked at historically, today’s market levels look “relatively cheap.”

UBS’s data also show that buying of defensive stocks–shares of companies like drug-makers which are likely to provide some security if the economy slides into a recession again–is at the highest level in nine months. yet, in today’s skittish market, investors are sifting through defensive stocks carefully, buying some like pharmaceutical companies and food retailers and avoiding others like telecommunications and utilities. One of the reasons investors are shunning telecommunications and utilities, UBS says, is that both have a high exposure to southern Europe where fears over a sovereign debt crisis are riding high.Conversely, UBS says some economically sensitive or so-called cyclical sectors such as capital goods and autos have outperformed because of their lower exposure to troubled parts of Europe. the bank says its client flow data shows almost no selling of cyclical stocks in the current correction.

Based on stock loan data as of June 7, UBS says the European large or mid-sized companies which have seen heavy borrowing of their stock by investors who typically want to take bearish bets include banking software supplier Temenos with 26.3% of its market capitalization on loan, car navigation system maker TomTom, with 12.3% of its outstanding shares on loan, temporary help agency Adecco with 9.9% of its market capitalization on loan, consulting concern CapGemini with 8.5% of its stock on loan and insurer AXA with 7.9% of its shares on loan.

In the U.K., British Airways, which is just emerging this week from the latest strike by its cabin crew, is the most heavily shorted stock in the FTSE-100, according to UBS. Slightly more than 26% of BA’s stock has been sold short, a monthly rise of 1.19%, suggesting even if investors think the stock has been beaten down too much, it may still be too early to jump in and start nibbling. British Airways has been leading UBS’s FTSE-100 heavily-shorted stock list since at least April and rather than declining, its short position has been rising, indicating that the towards the British airline’s bearish momentum continues to build. No wonder. the union representing BA’s cabin crew said Wednesday it plans to hold another ballot of its members for further strike action this summer.

The stock loan data provides a lagging indicator of what the smart money is doing, but one of its chief values is the window it provides into selling trends. Judging by the latest data, it might be worth taking a closer look at Vedanta and London Stock Exchange, but for now hold off taking a flier on BA stock.

Buying Patterns In Stocks Suggest Rebound Dead Ahead « Great Speculations – Forbes.com

Hot Stock Picks – How to See Through the Hype

If you’re a new investor looking to expand your portfolio with some new securities, you might be wondering what all the fuss is about these hot stocks that are all over the internet. these days, everyone from televisions personalities to internet investors is claiming that they have the inside track on the hot stock picks that you’ve just got to purchase, but it’s important not to get caught up in all the hype. while hot stocks do have the potential to make you some money in just a short period of time, they also carry an increased risk.

Just like their name implies, hot stock picks are usually those that are fairly new to the market, very volatile, and poised to make a big increase in price. For investors that are looking to “buy low and sell high,” the hot stocks have an allure that is particularly hard to ignore, as they as the stocks that are most likely to make a big jump in value, generating big profits for those that were first in line to buy them. the only problem with these stocks is that their companies are usually untested in the marketplace, meaning that it’s not uncommon for them to flop without earning a penny.

Even though you might be caught up in the excitement of hot stock picks, it’s important that you don’t abandon the principles of both fundamental and technical analysis that have been applied to the other stocks in your portfolio. Technical analysis demands that you spend time analyzing the way that a stock’s price has moved up and down in the market over the past few years, noting any patterns or trends that would indicate that it is growing or declining. if a stock is too new for you to be able to analyze it in the charts, it’s probably too risky.

Fundamental analysis demands that you spend time analyzing the way that the company has performed in the past, both financially and politically. are there signs that this company might be getting new leadership, or that it might merge with another company? these things affect the value of hot stock picks, and can mean that the stock takes a nosedive instead of making you an overnight millionaire. no matter how excited you might get about a certain stock pick, it’s important never to abandon common sense and your knowledge of how far you’re willing to go for a potential profit.

Hot Stock Picks – How to See Through the Hype

How To Calculate Gross Profit

How to Calculate gross Profit

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Share and Enjoy: How To Calculate Gross Profit

Thinking About Buying Stocks?

Have you thought about your financial future? Are you starting to get concerned with saving for retirement? This is one step towards investing for your future. That’s great that you’re thinking about your future, but you need to do more than just think.

If you want to start investing, stocks are just one route to take, but you could also invest in real estate, currency, bonds, and commodities, to name a few. you can invest in just about anything want to invest in.

When looking at the different types of investments, you will learn that some investments are better than others. I don’t mean that one investment should always be chosen over another, but different ones work better for different people.

If you invest in stocks, you won’t be deeply disappointed. they are great investments and will almost always earn you more money than bonds with minimal risk. they are easy to get a grasp up as well, unlike derivatives.

Stocks are great for young people in their twenties or thirties. they have plenty of time to recover from any losses they may have so they can take greater risks. It’s true, you might lose money once in a while with stocks. in fact, you probably will from time to time.

When you invest, in stocks or any other type of investment, you are taking a risk that you will lose money. That’s part of investing. You’ll make money, you’ll lose money. As long as you are making a profit overall, you are doing well.

Diversification is what allows you to take these risks with confidence. Don’t buy only stock from one company. if you have a loss on one stock, you should have others with gains to offset the loss. if you’re lucky, you’ll have all gains.

When retirement gets close, put more of your money into less risky investments like bonds. you want to reduce risk to avoid losses right before you’ll need the money.

Thinking About Buying Stocks?